Groupon Stock Holders! Head For the Exits!

In what, I'm sure will be the second to last post I ever make about Groupon, and how much of a dog company I think it is (the last post will be a "I told you so" when Groupon becomes a penny stock), I'd like to show you Groupon stock performance over the past two days.


Pretty shocking stuff. Especially if you own shares in this company!


On Monday, Nov. 21, 2011. The Dow Jones Industrials (DJI) had a bad day dropping 249 points or -2.1% to finish at 11,454. The NASDAQ Composite Index (IXIC) closed 1.92% lower at 2,529.14. On the other hand, Groupon (GRPN) had an even worse day by dropping almost 10% and another nearly 1% after-hours! See chart:

Today, Tuesday Nov. 22, 2011 (USA time) it wasn't as bad as yesterday's market saw the DJI down 53.59 or -0.49% to finish at 11,493.72. The NASDAQ closed 1.86% lower at 2,521. But! Groupon was one of the top three losers for the day dropping a whopping 3.51 or -14.89% to close at nearly their IPO price. The final closing was 20.07.

Head for the life rafts! If anyone knows where or how they can short GRPN shares, please comment and let us all know. Opportunities of a lifetime, like this one, don't come very often.

As I have written over and over before, a business model built on SPAM mail isn't a good business model at all. They should have built a portal. They should have taken Google's $6 billion dollar offer.

I'll make a prediction here: GRPN stock price will be under $5.00 by December 15, 2012 (maybe $1.00?) So if you want to be stupid and "BUY" then wait for their 60% off Groupon share price coupons! (Or, as Karl Denninger says, "There's crazy and then there's really crazy!") 

UPDATE: Zerohedge writes, "Groupoff - Groupon back to IPO price":

As of this moment, everyone who has bought and held GRPN stock since the IPO price is at best flat, and almost certainly at a massive loss, as only a few banks were allotted shares at the $20.00 offering price, which were quickly flipped to subsequent greater fools. As of this moment, GRPN is back to the IPO price or precisely $20.00. We expect once this is taken out for the one way Grouponzi Red Light Special to fair value, somewhere around $0.00, to take a few months at most.

PS: I have made some really good bucks buying and selling stocks over these 35 years... Actually, only three. I've only ever bought three times. I won big three times. Great opportunities only come once every ten years or so (unless you have insider information) one day soon I will write about these exploits. I found these chances of a lifetime just simply from reading the news. You can too. Sometimes things are just painfully obvious. As a loser, Groupon was one of them.

Had I been able to invest huge money instead of my piddling amounts, on the good ones....I might have been rich!

Or as my wife says:

UPDATE 2: Groupon was the #2 biggest drop on the entire NASDAQ today according to Yahoo Finance:

NEW YORK (AP) -- A look at the 10 biggest percentage decliners on Nasdaq at the close of trading:

School Specialty Inc. fell 26.4 percent to $5.17.

Groupon Inc. fell 14.9 percent to $20.07.

First Clover Leaf Financial Corp. fell 11.6 percent to $5.74.

Viasystems Group fell 10.9 percent to $15.77.

ID Systems Inc. fell 9.7 percent to $5.14.

Mackinac Financial Corp. fell 9.6 percent to $5.00.

Technical Communications Corp. fell 9.6 percent to $7.17.

Forbes Energy Services Ltd. fell 9.2 percent to $5.35.

KIT Digital Inc. fell 9.2 percent to $9.52.

Lihua Intl fell 8.8 percent to $5.36.

UPDATE 3: Another from Zerohedge:

Yet another fatal flaw in GRPN's business model is revealed to the sheeple IPO buyers.

Bakery Burned in Groupon Deal for 102000 Cupcakes

‎ - International Business Times

Japanese Government: These People are Just Plain Nuts

We're F'ed. There, I said it. I used the "F" word.

What did I tell you? Exactly one week ago, I complained that those stupid idiots (I do have harsher words but this is a "family fun" blog) in the Japanese government threw away $50 some billion dollars trying to support the rising yen. In Japanese Central Bank Throws Away a Billion Dollars Again, I wrote:


This morning when I woke up I checked the financial markets, gold, silver and, of course, the dollar yen rate.


I was somewhat surprised to see the yen at ¥76.9-something to the US dollar. A hour or two later, the yen had dropped to its current ¥78.9 per US dollar. Obviously the Japanese Central Bank intervened and bought a bunch of dollars.

Fools. When will they ever learn? They keep throwing our hard earned tax money down the drain to stop the yen's rise, but it is all in vain as the yen's appreciation continues....


Why do these fools keep doing this? When will they ever learn that these interventions cannot and will not stop any long term trend? 


Gee, you think that, after decades of this sort of failed action repeated over and over that these analysts would figure it out? Gee... I guess they really go out on a limb and stick their necks out when they make statements like, "We don't believe today's action will explicity change the trend." 

What!? After decades of this sort of action and the inevitable failures of those actions, why is it  difficult to say straight out that "this Bank of Japan intervention will fail like all the others have before it."

They intervened in the yen at ¥76.9, spending some $50 billion dollars. The yen rose to over ¥80 to the US dollar. Now, today, exactly one week later, we're right back where we started. The yen today, as of 4:11 am August 11, 2011 Japan time, is at ¥76.81... 

Those fricking jerks in the government just threw away, for the umpteenth time, $50 billion dollars of hard earned tax payer money. That's your money and my money! God!@%>?! idiots! 


Now they are considering doing this again!? What the f*ck is wrong with these stupid people?


Yahoo reports:


Japanese policymakers voiced growing alarm on Tuesday as the yen scaled highs seen before last week's intervention and global stock markets crumbled under mounting fears of a new financial crisis. Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda on several occasions repeated the mantra that he was watching markets closely as the dollar slid below 77 yen, under levels that spurred Tokyo to take action on August 4. He indicated that authorities would wait to see market reaction to U.S. Federal Reserve decisions later in the day (2:15 p.m. EDT) before deciding whether to act again.


What!? they are thinking about doing this again!? WTF!? God! I'm so pissed off about this I want to scream! How many times do they do this over and over and over and the same thing happens over and over until they finally learn? If history is any judge then we know that they never learn! 


The only thing that does make me happy this morning is the news that, finally, it looks like we will get rid of that moron prime minister Kan...


Reuters reports:


Prospects grew on Wednesday that Prime Minister Naoto Kan would resign this month, setting the stage for the selection of Japan's sixth leader in five years as the country struggles to rebuild from a massive tsunami, forge a new energy policy in the wake of a nuclear crisis and fix tattered state finances. With two key bills that Kan wants to make into law before he goes looking likely to be enacted before parliament's session ends on Aug. 31, Japanese media said Kan's Democratic Party was planning to vote as early as Aug. 28 to select a new leader. Finance Minister Yoshihiko Noda, who favours paying for bulging social security costs by raising the 5 percent sales tax, and like Kan sees reining in ballooning public debt as policy priority, is mooted as a leading contender.


Noda!? The guy who keeps recommending that Japan buy dollars to lower the value of the yen!? Are you kidding me? No. Can't be. I just can't believe that. I've died and gone to hell. I refuse to accept it.


Well, Noda or not, if we can judge from the past, the next guy who will torture the Japanese nation as prime minister will be just as much of a dolt as Kan. I think Noda will be even worse. Now that's hard to imagine!


Too bad Japan can't be like Belgium.. They haven't had a government in almost a year... Some people get all the luck!


Maybe I'll move to Belgium.